tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37179942.post2674779251560781336..comments2023-10-22T05:51:58.898-04:00Comments on Soob: I Go Away for A Week... Part II (Cuba)Jay@Soobhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12208597218366281778noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37179942.post-17313530814215934472008-02-20T17:48:00.000-05:002008-02-20T17:48:00.000-05:00Hey Otto. I'd point out that nothing of the sort w...Hey Otto. I'd point out that nothing of the sort will happen until US policy changes from it's petrified Cold War status to that of a more conventional and realistic policy. You evoke China's slow transition to the quasi-capitalist state we see today. Very likely wouldn't have come about were it not for Nixon's visit (and re-affirmation of the Mainland as the "real" China vs Taiwan) and Clinton's Most Favored Nation offering that paved the way to China being geo-economicaly connected.<BR/><BR/>That aside, I agree that the transformation will be slow. But at the same time, free travel of Cuban ex-pats might well expedite such a transformation.Jay@Soobhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12208597218366281778noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37179942.post-15169582731369176682008-02-20T05:41:00.000-05:002008-02-20T05:41:00.000-05:00On Cuba, where only talking of a succession not a ...On Cuba, where only talking of a succession not a transition, in fact, one that took place some time ago and, I might venture to suggest, there is nothing to indicate a move to democracy. Its 11 million people are plagued by low levels of disposable income and very high prices in a command economy with a single party system; hardly anything to get excited about. So where to for Cuba now? I foresee a gradual opening of its economy but with rigid political check; the early China model."Ottavio (Otto) Marasco https://www.blogger.com/profile/07813984603766878752noreply@blogger.com